The premise is simple: I'll tell you what players you can confidently start the season with, and what players should cause your stomach to wobble if you have to start them.
2006 stats at NFL.com and pro-football-reference.com
Vince Young (QB): Here’s what I wrote about Vince Young a few days before the Titans re-signed RB Chris Brown:
“In your head, list off all the current Titan WRs, TEs, and RBs. How many did you get to? And did you name a single viable fantasy starter? No. That’s why Vince Young is a risk, and that’s why you should vomit into the bathtub and crawl in with it if you are starting any other Titans. If Young had some other skill position players around him to throw to, he’d be an expensive fantasy pick. As it is, he’ll still be an expensive fantasy pick, and probably a worthy starter, but also a disappointment.”
Chris Brown changes things for the Titans, but it doesn’t really change much about Vince Young’s fantasy status going into the season. Chris Brown may have an effect on Young’s numbers, but I can’t predict that effect in any way that changes how I feel about Vince Young right now. He's a risky high-potential starter that you should let somebody else in your league draft. If somehow he ends up on your team, start him and hope for good tidings.
But now Vince Young isn't the only valid Titan fantasy starter, because I like
Chris Brown (RB): Chris Brown can be a very productive fantasy RB. In 2004, he was a wonderful fantasy player--when healthy. That’s the problem: he was a good fantasy starter in 11 games. He was less productive on a bad 2005 Titan team, and only played in 5 games in 2006. Brown is a weak starter going into 2007, but still a starter. Will he be a decent start by week 4, week 8, week 12? I don’t know. But he’d be a cheap player (he should go very late in any draft) and a reasonable week one starter.