Saturday, June 09, 2007

Blizzard: Fantasy Football Advice and Some Viking Links

Fantasy Football Advice
1. Check the game logs.
Final numbers can be deceiving. For example, in 2006 Lee Evans had 1,292 yards and 8 TDs. But when you look at his game log, he had 265 yards and 2 TDs in one game. Take away that one game, and Evans' numbers look less impressive. In fantasy football, you want to have players that give you consistent points. I look to see how many games a particular player scored in (in Lee Evans' case, he scored in 7 of 16 games, which is solid). You'd like to see WRs on your team scoring in nearly half the games they play in (it's outstanding if a WR scores in half or more than half of the games he plays in). You also might want to set a yardage mark (for example, Lee Evans had 75+ yards in 7 of 16 games, which is also solid). If you look to the game logs, you can learn more about how effective a player is, and you can determine if he will best help your fantasy team. In the case of Evans, even though he had one massive game that boosted his numbers, he's still a solid fantasy WR because he scored a TD in 7/16 games and he had 75+ yards in 7/16 games. Big games are great, but to win over the course of a fantasy football season, you need players that get you points every week.

2. In an auction league, always raise your bids by increments of one.
I don't care--never raise more than one. If the bid is at 20 and it's your turn to bid, bid 21, even if you know the player is going to go for much more money. In our league, the elite RBs should be expected to go for 50-100 dollars. But if I start a bid on one of those RBs, I'll start at a dollar. And I'll never raise more than a dollar. This might drive some people bonkers, but I don't care. It stretches out the draft, and it ensures you will never pay more than you absolutely have to.

Viking links
From the Strib:
Rich Gannon likes the Viking QBs.

Sid talks with Brooks Bollinger about how Bollinger might still be the starting QB. I feel weird saying it, but the 2007 version of the Vikings might be better off with Bollinger than Jackson. I still fully expect Jackson under center week one.

From the Ppress:
As you might expect, Childress is happy with progress.

Some Viking defensive players say positive things about the offensive players.

And a final Viking comment
Some days I feel like smiling just knowing Pat Williams plays for the Vikings. I love the guy. He's been the best player on the team for two years, and he really sounds like a hard worker and excellent teammate. I hope they extend his contract and he plays for the Vikings as long as he can.

10 comments:

  1. Anonymous8:48 AM

    i agree you need players who provide consistent support. but i think it's best to have one player at each position who is consistent and a couple others who have the ability to score an enormous amount of points on any given week. it makes it a little more interesting to have these players week to week and attempt to figure when they will blow up. otherwise, the temptation is to send in the same line ups every week. this philosophy may well be one of the two reasons why i haven't won the title yet but have won points.

    rk

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  2. If you have a consistent roster, you should send in the same roster every week. If you're able to send in the same roster every week, you're probably doing alright. If you have to guess at which of your inconsistent players is going to have a big game, and switch your lineups week to week, you can miss out on good games. I'd rather be able to just start a WR that scores 1 TD in 8 of 16 games than have a WR that has a few multiple TD games but only scores in around 4-5 of 16 games.

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  3. Championships-

    Kiah-2
    Jerod-1
    Joe-1
    Justin-1
    RK-0

    RK you are the only anomoly ever. Every other time someone has one the league they have scored the most points. I also believe your strategy is also what led to a coupld 0-7 weeks which kills you in our scoring system. Doesn't help much for you to score 100 pts when the next team scores 56 pts. Consistency is key.

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  4. Rob is responsible for the A.P. Trophy (which he has never even seen).

    J-Rod, bring back your trophies (the Hazelweird and the All Points) to show Rob what the trophy he created looks like.

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  5. Anonymous4:55 PM

    in my heart i'm a two time winner if not for god's wrath. i'll admit getting bored is what kills me. it forces me into bad trades and forces me to make strange, capricious roster changes. also, packer love gets me every time. last year i would've started favre, driver, aj hawk, and green vs any other four players. this year i intend to win because i cannot fathom jerod really is better at this game than me.
    rk

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  6. I'll never forget 2002, when I got to my inbox and found Rich Gannon and Ricky Williams being offered to me for Kurt Warner and Ahman Green. Gannon (stat god that year) and Williams (his one great year) joined Priest Holmes and Randy Moss to form the greatest fantasy force ever assembled.

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  7. Greatest Fantasy Force ever? C'mon.

    LT, Manning, Baltimore D

    Now that was a force.

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  8. How quickly everybody forgets what Priest Holmes once was. In 2002, Holmes had 2,287 yards from scrimmage and 24 total TDs in 14 games. If he hadn't missed the last two games, he'd have likely broken the yards from scrimmage record, and likely the TD record (which he broke the next year anyway). Combined with another RB with 2,216 yards from scrimmage and 17 total TDs, and I'd take that single-season fantasy combination over any other our league has seen.

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  9. And Gannon's 2002 numbers were very near Manning's 2006 numbers. Considering there are always functional defenses out there (I'd have to look up who my 2002 defense was), I'd say the RB combo of 4,500 yards and 41 TDs combined with a QB that probably had the best all-around stats of that season, is better than 2006 Tomlinson, Manning, and Baltimore D.

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  10. Actually Daunte may have been the highest-scoring QB in '02. But think about this: you fell in love with fantasy Daunte and his 10 rushing TDs in 2002. Gannon's combined passing/rushing TDs were good for 96 points, while Culpepper's combined passing/rushing TDs were good for 114 points. Daunte had a lot more rushing yards, Gannon had a lot more passing yards. '02 Gannon combined with Holmes/Williams was at least as good a fantasy combo as we've seen.

    Kiah has the next arguments. His '05 combo of Larry Johnson/Tiki Barber carried him from last place to first place in half a season. And didn't he start every Colt involved in the passing game in '04--Manning's 49 TD season.

    Sorry, everybody--it's summer, so there might be a little too much history of the Hazelweird fantasy league in the comments section. My excuse is that it is summer.

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