Here are some trends, comparisons, and probabilities for this weekend's football games.
Pro-football-reference.com tries to find comparable matchups in recent years to find probability for each game's outcome.
The Football Professor examines each team's trends for the season to assess where each team is headed this weekend.
NFL Stats uses a model based on team efficiency to give probability for this weekend.
The math isn't all, of course: human beings are not "sprigs on a barrel organ." But analysis that relies on interpretation of objective data is always useful in discussing football games.