tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23140411.post7306134065202778556..comments2024-03-28T21:41:57.264-05:00Comments on Pacifist Viking: Projecting Brett Favre's 2010 StatsPacifist Vikinghttp://www.blogger.com/profile/16630996018868040440noreply@blogger.comBlogger3125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23140411.post-27538053649426446502012-12-28T18:02:39.165-06:002012-12-28T18:02:39.165-06:00oh in my opinion you did exactly what I would have...oh in my opinion you did exactly what I would have done in order to project Brett Favre's 2010 statistics, so I think you did a pretty good job! peace bro!per head servicehttp://www.hostpph.com/pay-per-head/index.aspxnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23140411.post-66990637400960679862010-08-18T23:49:29.126-05:002010-08-18T23:49:29.126-05:00The averaging is a little arbitrary, I know. Howe...The averaging is a little arbitrary, I know. However, Favre had career highs in some key categories at the age of 39/40. I wouldn't expect him to be able to match a career year at 40/41; there's going to be some regression toward the mean (for example, as Football Outsiders often points out, any QB with an extremely low INT % one year usually regresses the next year). I just thought it might be a way to think about how he might regress toward the mean: take an average of two straight seasons: a sub-par season and a spectacular season. The fact that his average of '08 and '09 actually matches the '07 numbers suggests to me that it might be accurate. I think at this stage of Favre's career, playing in the league's current pass-friendly atmosphere, this is the player Favre is.<br /><br />You're right on one thing: the Vikings' skill position players are far more talented than the '08 Jets' skill position players, or the '07 Packers' skill position players. The greatness of AP and the diversity/versatility of the Viking receivers should really help Favre be productive (as he'll help them be productive). But I'd still expect some regression, and the average seasons idea was just an admittedly clunky way to guess what that regression might look like.pacifist vikinghttps://www.blogger.com/profile/02639283781758286098noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-23140411.post-54596651583065302682010-08-18T22:55:10.933-05:002010-08-18T22:55:10.933-05:00WHY average 2009 with 2008 when he was on a differ...WHY average 2009 with 2008 when he was on a different team with a very different offensive philosophy, less offensive talent and, oh yeah, a hurt shoulder? Unless you're predicting an injury, he'll be closer to 2009 than 2008.Remyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/03258447983579554309noreply@blogger.com